From the Archives: 4 Investment Rules to Ignore

December 28, 2010

Christine Benz, the personal finance expert at Morningstar, has an excellent article about the four investment rules to ignore. These “rules” are in wide practice throughout the industry, but they don’t hold up under close inspection. In fact, they will destroy your long-term returns if you let them.

1. Consistency of returns is important in investment selection.

2. If an investment has been a laggard over the past three or five years, cut it loose.

3. Your risk tolerance should determine your asset allocation.

4. It’s ok to go to cash when you are nervous about the market.

This article is a must-read.

—-this article originally ran 6/25/2009. As is the case with all timeless investment wisdom, it’s still true. Ignoring them or pretending they are false doesn’t make them any less true! There are a lot of things in the investment industry that people wish were true, but that doesn’t make it so. Read this article carefully again and get a good start on 2011.


Another Reason Your Portfolio Needs to Adapt

December 28, 2010

The securities market itself is adapting all the time. You’ve got to adapt to keep up. Fortune Magazine interviewed Richard Bookstaber, who is now consulting for the SEC. He discusses the difficulty of regulating markets:

What is the hardest part of securities regulation?

If you find a valve in a nuclear power plant that isn’t working right and replace it, the valve is not going to try to fool you into thinking it’s on when it’s really off. In the market, traders will try to fool you. In other words, there’s a realm of feedback and gaming that can occur in the financial markets that doesn’t occur in an engineering system. That makes developing rules much more difficult for Wall Street than for safety in engineering.

When you observe the market, the very fact that you are observing it as a regulator almost guarantees that the people in the market will react as a military adversary and develop the best defense against it. They will try to find ways around it.

The market is a feedback system. And the most accurate feedback you’re going to find is price. Price isn’t perfect, but it’s probably better than anything else.


What’s Hot…and Not

December 28, 2010

How different investments have done over the past 12 months, 6 months, and month.

1PowerShares DB Gold, 2iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF, 3iShares DJ U.S. Real Estate Index, 4iShares S&P Europe 350 Index, 5Green Haven Continuous Commodity Index, 6iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Fund, 7JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Fund, 8PowerShares DB US Dollar Index, 9iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond Fund, 10PowerShares DB Oil, 11iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond