March Arrow DWA Funds Review

April 8, 2014

3/31/14

The Arrow DWA Balanced Fund (DWAFX)

At the end of March, the fund had approximately 45% in U.S. Equities, 25% in Fixed Income, 18% in International Equities, and 12% in Alternatives.

We had a number of changes to this fund over the last month. In our Style sleeve, we replaced Mid-Cap Value and Small-Cap Value with Large-Cap Growth and Small-Cap Growth. In our Sector sleeve, we sold Financials and bought Technology. Finally, in our International sleeve, we sold Japan and bought Spain. From an overall asset allocation perspective, we slightly reduced our U.S. equity exposure and increased our International equity exposure. Much of the U.S. equity leadership in the first two months of the year pulled back in March. For example, positions like Healthcare and Small-Cap Growth which were among the leaders in January and February were among the laggards in March. However, International equity leadership was more stable in March.

DWAFX lost 1.01% in March, but is up 0.55% YTD through 3/31/14.

We believe that a real strength of this strategy is its balance between remaining diversified, while also adapting to market leadership. When an asset class is weak its exposure will tend to be towards the lower end of the exposure constraints, and when an asset class is strong its exposure in the fund will trend toward the upper end of its exposure constraints. Relative strength provides an effective means of determining the appropriate weights of the strategy.

dwafx 04.08.14 March Arrow DWA Funds Review

The Arrow DWA Tactical Fund (DWTFX)

At the end of March, the fund had approximately 90% in U.S. equities and 9% in International equities.

There were no changes in holdings to this fund in March. Leadership generally took a breather and underperformed in March, yet longer-term relative strength continues to favor U.S. equities. One area to keep an eye on is Commodities. This asset class has been a laggard for the last couple of years, but is showing some strong signs of life. A number of commodity ETFs are rising in our relative strength ranks, and if that continues, may find their way to into the fund.

DWTFX lost 0.57% in March, but is up 1.16% YTD through 3/31/14. This fund has outperformed 97% of its peers in the Morningstar Tactical Allocation category over the past year.

This strategy is a go-anywhere strategy with very few constraints in terms of exposure to different asset classes. The strategy can invest in domestic equities, international equities, inverse equities, currencies, commodities, real estate, and fixed income. Market history clearly shows that asset classes go through secular bull and bear markets and we believe this strategy is ideally designed to capitalize on those trends. Additionally, we believe that this strategy can provide important risk diversification for a client’s overall portfolio.

DWTFX 04.08.14 March Arrow DWA Funds Review

A list of all holdings for the trailing 12 months is available upon request. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. See www.arrowfunds.com for a prospectus.

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401k Spotlight: Q&A with Pat Church

April 8, 2014

Patrick Church, of Church Capital, was kind enough to share his insights into serving the 401k market with the following Q&A.

Q (AH): Please give an overview of your background in the industry.

A (PC): I started out in the finance industry in 1983 right after college selling life insurance for Northwestern Mutual Life. Shortly after joining NML, they bought a regional broker dealer named Robert W. Baird and added the ability for insurance people to sell investments. Myself and another individual in the insurance agency gravitated toward the investment side of the business and I sold my first retirement plan around 1985. I continued with the big agency philosophy at that time of being the overall financial planner who could help with “all of your needs” from insurance to investments. I found this to not be very satisfying in not developing any area of expertise. In 1998 I decided to make the 100% focus to act only as an investment advisor and joined a mid- sized independent broker. The timing of that was a little rough with 2000-2001 just around the corner. That tough period made me realize I needed to develop an approach to the business I could rely on in good times and bad. I was at a conference where Tom Dorsey spoke. I took his book back to my hotel room and read it over the weekend and have been a proponent of DWA since. I focused with the DWA approach primarily with IRA rollers until 2008. It occurred to me around that time that people who roll money out of retirement plans receive pretty good advice but the solutions while in a retirement plan lack sophistication. I began looking at ways where I could bring in the DWA strategies to 401k plans in 2009. I happened to stumble upon a young ERISA attorney at the time, Jason Roberts, who has since become one of the industry’s more highly regarded ERISA consultants. He suggested to me that I act as an ERISA 3(38) fiduciary and create DWA investment models that 401k participants could choose as alternatives to mutual funds. I had some good success in bringing in plans utilizing the feature of adding “managed accounts”. As my managed accounts evolved over the past several years, I began to add ETF’s as the source for model management. Last year I decided, based on the growing interest of ETF managed accounts, to register my models as Collective Investment Trusts and make them available to any 401k platform. Dorsey Wright acts as the sub-advisor to the two Collective Investment Trusts. My role now is simple in that I am responsible for marketing the funds to plans, advisors and third party administrators.

Q (AH): How well do you think 401ks are doing in preparing people for retirement?

A (PC): I think the 401k providers are adding better features all the time to help people track where they are and what they need to do to accumulate the right amount but there is still a pretty good void in the area of providing specific advice to participants. For example, the advice tends to be very generic when explaining stock/bond allocations. Most participants have under emphasized small cap exposure over the past 15 years due to conventional wisdom 401k advisor direction advocating “safer” large cap equities. Since 2008, there has also been significant poor allocations with the international exposure to emerging markets while developed (European) stocks have been in a long, good performing cycle. We can do a better job with specific advice.

Q (AH): Describe the reasons that you chose to focus on serving the 401k market.

A (PC): I see an area of opportunity for myself and other advisors with 401k plans to begin implementing the same kind of evolved managed accounts that people are receiving on an individual basis. My discussions with plan sponsors and advisors to provide better asset allocation solutions than products like target date funds are an area of high interest. When I look at my 401k plan data base of 5500’s, there are plenty of quality funds on menus but the actual performance of participants is disconnected from fund performance. The reason is that people do not have the expertise to re-allocate in sync with market cycles. Something like 80% of participants never log on to their accounts.

Q (AH): Why did you choose to incorporate Dorsey Wright’s relative strength strategy in your Collective Investment Trusts for 401k plans?

A (PC): I believe the strategy is very much in sync with what 401k participants want, which is a long term reliable process of managing the investment markets.

Q (AH): What should other financial advisors know about how they can get involved in serving the 401k market?

A (PC): I think the first thing an advisor should know is that the industry is moving to a fee based structure. If you are not already converting your business to fee based, it would be prudent to do so. The key is to make everything transparent and simple for the plan sponsor. I think there is an interesting opportunity to talk to new plans about an area they have not likely been exposed to yet and that is ETF Managed Accounts. We have put together a careful well thought out asset allocation strategy with the Dorsey Wright ETF Global Growth and Dorsey Wright ETF Global Balanced funds. We are an option for investors looking to replace a series of target date funds. I think the last thing to mention is that there is a well established history of how an advisor serves a 401k plan to show value and one of the main functions has been to monitor the mutual funds. Statistics are starting to surface that show the funds that are replaced by advisors don’t necessarily provide value to participants. I think an advisor who approaches a plan sponsor today might use a different tactic of setting up the plan with low cost index funds with some managed account options and focus on getting specific advice to participants.

To learn more about Church Capital, please click here or call Pat at 253-797-0218.

Pat Church 401k Spotlight: Q&A with Pat Church

Patrick Church

The opinions expressed herein are that of Patrick Church and Church Capital LLC and do not necessarily represent that of Dorsey, Wright & Associates, LLC.

Nothing contained herein should be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any se­curity. This report does not attempt to examine all the facts and circumstances which may be relevant to any company, industry or security mentioned herein. We are not soliciting any action based on this document. This document does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Before acting on any analysis, advice or recommendation in this document, clients should consider whether the security or strategy in question is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if neces­sary, seek professional advice. The relative strength strategy is NOT a guarantee. There may be times where all investments and strategies are unfavorable and depreciate in value. Relative Strength is a measure of price momentum based on historical price activity. Relative Strength is not predictive and there is no assurance that forecasts based on relative strength can be relied upon.

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Relative Strength Spread

April 8, 2014

The chart below is the spread between the relative strength leaders and relative strength laggards (universe of mid and large cap stocks). When the chart is rising, relative strength leaders are performing better than relative strength laggards. As of 4/7/2014:

RS Spread 04.08.14 Relative Strength Spread

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