Quote of the Week

December 22, 2014

James Osborne via Ben Carlson:

If you want to come to me and say “The intrinsic value of this stock is $45 because that is what investors have historically been willing to pay for these earnings so it is a buy at $30,” my simple question is: why isn’t the market willing to pay for those earnings today? Ultimately, intrinsic value is decided by the market. It is an odd bit of dissonance to state that today the market is wrong about a stock’s “intrinsic value” but to expect the market to get things “right” sometime in the future.

HT: Abnormal Returns

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RS Chart of the Day

December 22, 2014

Point and Figure RS Charts are calculated by dividing one security by another and plotting the ratio on a PnF chart. When the ratio is rising, it is plotted in a column of X’s and reflects the numerator outperforming the denominator. Likewise, when the relative strength ratio is declining, it is plotted in a column of O’s and reflects the outperformance of the denominator.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss. This example is presented for illustrative purposes only and does not represent a past recommendation. The relative strength strategy is NOT a guarantee. There may be times where all investments and strategies are unfavorable and depreciate in value. Nothing contained herein should be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. This post does not attempt to examine all the facts and circumstances which may be relevant to any product or security mentioned herein. We are not soliciting any action based on this document. It is for the general information of clients of Dorsey, Wright & Associates, LLC (“Dorsey, Wright & Associates”). This document does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Before acting on any analysis, advice or recommendation in this document, clients should consider whether the security or strategy in question is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice.

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Weekly RS Recap

December 22, 2014

The table below shows the performance of a universe of mid and large cap U.S. equities, broken down by relative strength decile and quartile and then compared to the universe return. Those at the top of the ranks are those stocks which have the best intermediate-term relative strength. Relative strength strategies buy securities that have strong intermediate-term relative strength and hold them as long as they remain strong.

Last week’s performance (12/15/14 - 12/19/14) is as follows:

This example is presented for illustrative purposes only and does not represent a past recommendation. The performance above is based on pure price returns, not inclusive of dividends or all transaction costs. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss.

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