Bond Buyer’s Dilemma

January 9, 2013

Morningstar details the risks facing fixed income investors seeking higher yields:

The ability for even very low-rated, highly leveraged companies to get financing has helped many firms stay afloat when they would otherwise have defaulted in a normal year. The high demand for these speculative issues has caused some investors to discard fundamentals in favor of searching for the highest yield without regard for quality. This strategy has worked so far, but at some point demand will soften, poor business fundamentals will catch up with firms, or the Fed will change its policy.

The article also included this chart showing historical drawdowns in high yield bonds:

High Yield Drawdowns Bond Buyers Dilemma

This is a pretty good argument for being tactical with your fixed income exposure.

To learn about our approach to tactically managing a broad universe of fixed income, including Treasurys, Corporates, High Yield, International, Convertible, and TIPs, click the image below to watch a short video presentation on our Tactical Fixed Income portfolio (financial professionals only).

tfi Bond Buyers Dilemma

Please click here for disclosures.

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High RS Diffusion Index

January 9, 2013

The chart below measures the percentage of high relative strength stocks that are trading above their 50-day moving average (universe of mid and large cap stocks.)  As of 1/8/13.

diffusion 01.09.13 High RS Diffusion Index

The 10-day moving average of this indicator is 85% and the one-day reading is 94%.

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